Unequivocal Notes

An Experiment in Personal Development

Failed Miserably!!

After I gave the good news with our January budget, I need to send the bad news too. With respect to the monthly goal I set here, I didn’t do a thing about it. I have been procrastinating every weekday telling myself that I would do it during the weekend. And during the weekend, I sit with my craft projects and do absolutely nothing else. I had already planned a new thing to do for February. But looks like it’s gottu wait. Or do I take both up for February? Or can I reassign the Jan work to my husband? hmmm….Thatz interesting.

Anyways, jokes apart. Today I will consolidate the list of things to sell. I mean it. Today!!

January 31, 2008 Posted by unequivocal | finance | | No Comments Yet

Jan Budget Updates and Feb Budget

I feel that having monthly budgets works better for us than having a yearly budget. This allows us to allocate money for things that we cannot know well ahead of time.

This is how we did with our Jan budget.

jan_end_budget_update.jpg

The areas where the actuals were greater than the budget were credit card debt and miscellaneous. I wanted to get our credit card debt to $2000 and hence overpaid our credit cards. It’s a good thing. In fact I think often about paying it off completely. Having a 0% interest on the card is letting me prioritize other things. The miscellaneous category is overspent by $48. I can over look this one since the total of underspent categories is greater than $48. I am extremely proud that we spent only around $100 eating out. It is about 20% of what we normally(??) spend eating out. Overall I am excited about repeating this month after month.

The most important aspect of doing this for us was that it gave us an opportunity to know where our money was going. Not that we were shopping every weekend at the mall nor were we charging our credit cards left, right and center. It’s improved our awareness of how we spend. I think this is the most important step in getting our finances in order. If you look at any personal finance books or blogs, the first recommendation that everybody makes is to ‘Make a Budget’.

We have made a few changes to the February budget. 2 new categories, Gifts and HOA have been added. Food and Miscellaneous has been split into Grocery, Misc 1(for me) and Misc 2(my husband). I plan to bring down the credit card debt by another $500. The Misc 1 and Misc 2 includes any restaurant trips that we make during the month.

feb_budget.jpg

Networth update is due on the 10th of Feb. Check back to see how our networth has improved.

January 31, 2008 Posted by unequivocal | Budget, Personal, credit card, food expense | | No Comments Yet

US and World Indices Performance

January 28, 2008 Posted by unequivocal | finance | | No Comments Yet

Index Fund Advantages

Index Funds are capable of performing better than an actively managed fund because

1) Index Fund managers trade less than actively managed funds. At the end of a year, actively managed funds retain only about 15%(data from http://www.fool.com) of the shares that they had during the start of the year. The cost of these transactions makes the return smaller by increasing the expense ratio of the fund.

2) Also in order to ‘time the market’, a percentage of the funds portfolio is held as cash. This brings down the total return on the portfolio.

January 28, 2008 Posted by unequivocal | finance | | 1 Comment

S&P 500 Index – Average 10 year Return

After about a month and a half into writing this blog and reading about 100+ personal finance blogs everyday, I have a few basic ideas that I believe about investing.

1) Have a budget and spend less than you make – We created a budget this month and we seem to be doing pretty good. I will be providing our budget update end of this month. 

2) Have an emergency fund before getting into investing – We have an emergency fund. It is not as big as what we want it to be. But it is a fairly decent amount.

3) Contribute to 401(k) – It is setup and is going to happen automatically every month. We can have a tick mark in this one too.

4) Reduce debt – With a mortgage and auto loans looming in our networth calculation, it is a process that is going to take time. We are committed to get rid of all our bad debt.

5) Invest in index funds - We have started our journey of learning how index funds work. My first experiment in this regard was to find how an index has changed over different 10 year periods.

The S&P500 % change for each of the years from 1989 to 2007 is as below:

 sp500_change.jpg(data from http://www.econstats.com/eqty/eqea_mi_1.htm)

For various 10 year periods, the average % change are as below:

sp500_10yr_avg.jpg

Also for the entire period of 1989 – 2007, the average % change is 10.39%.

Just by looking at the data above, it looks as though the trend is going down. But if it is looked at in detail, the worst years for this index was 2000, 2001 and 2002 when the percentage change was -10.14, -13.04 and -23.37. All but one(exception of 1998-2007) of the 10 year periods that had these brutal years included in their calculations had an average return of > 8%. The 10 year periods that had one or two of these brutal years (periods 1992-2001 and 1991-2000) and none of the brutal years (periods 1989-1998 and 1990-1999) had an average return of > 10%.

The conclusion that I could reach from the above is that index funds are a sure fit for our portfolio. Though it might not have been the greatest in the one 10 year period of 1998-2007 compared to the current high yield savings interest rate(assumption of 4%), it definitely has the best performance with low expense ratios and low risk.

January 25, 2008 Posted by unequivocal | finance | | 6 Comments

Economic Stimulus Package

I think the money should be given to household item manufacturers to reduce prices on their items(the total discount should be equal or more than the money given to them). This would make us all go and load up on major household items at a discount. Spend and save!!!

What do you think would go wrong with this?

January 24, 2008 Posted by unequivocal | finance | | No Comments Yet

Should We Refinance?

It’s out and loud that the fed lowered the fed funds rate by 3/4 point. I had a suggestion from a friend asking us to consider refinancing.

We have an 2 mortgage loans – one at 5.6% and the other at 7.25%. We intend to payoff the loan with the higher interest rate in the next 2 years. Given that bankrate.com quotes a 30 year fixed rate at 5.42%, 15 year fixed rate at 4.93% should we refinance?

What do you think?

January 22, 2008 Posted by unequivocal | finance, mortgage | , , , , | 2 Comments

Dollar Cost Averaging

Dollar cost averaging is the method of investing in a particular stock/fund at regular intervals. It suits a buy and hold investor. This provides insulation in a volatile market.

For example, if you decide to invest $1200 in a company whose stock price is $100, instead of buying 12 stocks on a single day, you spread your investment over a predetermined period of time, say 12 months. Each month you would buy that company stocks worth $100. Popular opinion is that irrespective of how the market moves, the investor should invest the alloted money in the company. This might not be suitable in all situations.

An illustration of how dollar cost averaging could provide insulation in a downward trend.dca2.jpg

At the end of the 1 year period, if the investor used dollar cost averaging, the value of the 17.6 stocks is about $792. If he did not use dollar cost averaging, the value of the 12 stocks would only be $540. Also in order to break even, i.e., the total value of the equity to be $1200, the stock value has to increase to $68.19 which is about 51.5% growth with dollar cost averaging. Without dollar cost averaging, the stock value has to rise back to $100 which is a 122.22% growth.

If the value of the stock was rising instead of falling…

dca3.jpg

At the end of the 1 year period, if the investor used dollar cost averaging, the value of the 9.6 stocks would be $1486. If he did not use dollar cost averaging, the value of the 12 stocks would be $1860. This is a situation in which investing using dollar cost averaging does not provide as much profit as one without dollar cost averaging.

But this is a technique to be used when the market is volatile, i.e., the investor does not know which direction the market is going to go or when the stock price is wavering up and down too much. Personally, I would use dollar cost averaging since I am just a beginner. And this method would help me to start slow and grow without losing track of my investing goals.

January 17, 2008 Posted by unequivocal | finance | | 2 Comments

How to Use a Credit Card?

I have always wondered if I should

  • Use a credit card for all the purchases and pay off the balance each cycle, or
  • Never use it and have full credit available all the time

Which one improves my credit score?

January 14, 2008 Posted by unequivocal | credit card | | No Comments Yet